Liga Nacional · Sep 25, 2025 00:30
Juticalpa
PWR 31
PWR 31
1 - 1
FT
Génesis
PWR 37
PWR 37
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (14%)
3-0 (12%)
1-0 (11%)
2-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk49%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 4% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 4%, pos gap 2
Power & Form
Attack38
Defense30
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G2.0
Attack39
Defense48
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.5
Juticalpa Form
DWLWW
STABLE
Génesis Form
DDLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS42%
Under 2.543%
Juticalpa Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Génesis Goals
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.57
Juticalpavs
0.60
GénesisDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum93%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Juticalpa-2
Gap#8
Génesis
WR 25% 48 pts
WR 21% 52 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juticalpa | 48 | 12 | 12 | 24 | 52 | 96 | 48 |
| Génesis | 52 | 11 | 19 | 22 | 58 | 78 | 52 |
Juticalpa
14.0%
| Sep 21 | Jutical… v CD Mota… | 0-0 |
| Sep 13 | Jutical… v Victoria | 2-3 |
| Aug 31 | Jutical… v Lobos U… | 0-2 |
| Aug 25 | Jutical… v Real Es… | 0-2 |
| Aug 17 | Jutical… v Atlétic… | 3-2 |
| Aug 10 | Jutical… v CD Olim… | 2-2 |
| Aug 02 | Jutical… v Olancho | 1-1 |
| Jul 30 | Jutical… v Platens… | 1-0 |
| Jul 27 | Jutical… v CD Mara… | 7-0 |
| Jul 24 | Jutical… v Atlétic… | 2-7 |
Génesis
8.0%
| Sep 20 | Génesis v Platens… | 1-1 |
| Sep 15 | Génesis v Real Es… | 1-1 |
| Sep 13 | Génesis v CD Olim… | 3-2 |
| Aug 30 | Génesis v Victoria | 1-0 |
| Aug 24 | Génesis v Atlétic… | 2-1 |
| Aug 16 | Génesis v Olancho | 1-3 |
| Aug 09 | Génesis v CD Mara… | 1-0 |
| Jul 26 | Génesis v CD Mota… | 2-1 |
| Jul 23 | Génesis v Lobos U… | 2-1 |
| May 04 | Génesis v CD Olim… | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Apr 26, 2025 | Génesis | 1-0 | Juticalpa |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Juticalpa | 0-1 | Génesis |
| Dec 01, 2024 | Génesis | 3-0 | Juticalpa |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Juticalpa | 0-0 | Génesis |
Key Factors
Juticalpa in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.