Liga Nacional · Sep 01, 2025 01:30

CD Motagua
PWR 35
3 - 2
FT

Real Espana
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: CD Motagua to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
CD Motagua Form DWDDL
STABLE
Real Espana Form WLWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.571%
BTTS71%
Under 2.529%
CD Motagua Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Real Espana Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.57
CD Motagua
vs
1.45
Real Espana
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings52%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
CD Motagua
+1
Gap
#3
Real Espana
WR 0% 0 pts WR 0% 0 pts
CD Motagua 10.0%
Aug 27 CD Mota… v Deporti… 0-0
Aug 23 CD Mota… v Victoria 0-1
Aug 18 CD Mota… v CD Mara… 3-3
Aug 15 CD Mota… v CS Cart… 0-0
Aug 10 CD Mota… v Olancho 3-1
Aug 06 CD Mota… v Indepen… 2-1
Aug 02 CD Mota… v CD Olim… 0-2
Jul 30 CD Mota… v Rudes 1-4
Jul 26 CD Mota… v Génesis 2-1
May 17 CD Mota… v Real Es… 2-0
Real Espana 10.0%
Aug 29 Real Es… v Sportin… 4-0
Aug 25 Real Es… v Jutical… 0-2
Aug 21 Real Es… v Diriang… 1-0
Aug 17 Real Es… v CD Olim… 0-0
Aug 14 Real Es… v Municip… 2-1
Aug 09 Real Es… v Atlétic… 0-3
Aug 03 Real Es… v CD Mara… 1-0
Jul 31 Real Es… v CS Here… 4-2
Jul 26 Real Es… v Platens… 2-1
Jul 23 Real Es… v Olancho 4-1
Head-to-Head (9)
May 17, 2025 Real Espana 2-0 CD Motagua
May 15, 2025 CD Motagua 1-0 Real Espana
Apr 27, 2025 CD Motagua 1-1 Real Espana
Feb 23, 2025 Real Espana 2-0 CD Motagua
Dec 15, 2024 CD Motagua 1-0 Real Espana
Dec 13, 2024 Real Espana 0-2 CD Motagua
Oct 06, 2024 CD Motagua 0-4 Real Espana
Aug 03, 2024 Real Espana 1-0 CD Motagua
Apr 11, 2024 CD Motagua 1-1 Real Espana
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.