AI Match Insights
Copa Santa Catarina Sep 29, 2025
Brusque
HomeVS
23:00
Concórdia
AwayAI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Brusque Win
Draw
Concórdia Win
Home Win
(41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 60%
Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 4.50 - 0.34
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.3
Score Prediction Analysis
Brusque Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Concórdia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (4%)
1-0 (4%)
2-1 (3%)
1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
Brusque Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | Brusque vs Guaraní C… | 3-2 |
| Sep 24 | Brusque vs Concórdia | 2-1 |
| Sep 21 | Brusque vs Guaraní C… | 1-0 |
| Sep 17 | Brusque vs Chapecoen… | 0-0 |
| Sep 14 | Brusque vs Ponte Pre… | 1-0 |
| Sep 09 | Brusque vs Santa Cat… | 1-2 |
| Sep 07 | Brusque vs Nautico R… | 0-1 |
| Aug 30 | Brusque vs CSA | 2-0 |
| Aug 23 | Brusque vs Caxias | 0-1 |
| Aug 17 | Brusque vs Londrina | 1-2 |
Concórdia Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | Concórdia vs Brusque | 2-1 |
| Sep 14 | Concórdia vs Santa Cat… | 4-1 |
| Sep 10 | Concórdia vs Chapecoen… | 0-1 |
| Mar 12 | Concórdia vs Botafogo | 4-0 |
| Feb 27 | Concórdia vs Ponte Pre… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Concórdia vs Santa Cat… | 3-0 |
| Feb 16 | Concórdia vs Brusque | 1-4 |
| Jan 29 | Concórdia vs Figueiren… | 4-1 |
| Jan 26 | Concórdia vs Chapecoen… | 2-1 |
| Jan 19 | Concórdia vs Criciúma | 2-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Brusque struggling (3L in last 5) Home
- Concórdia struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | Concórdia | 2 - 1 | Brusque | Copa Santa Cat… |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Concórdia | 1 - 4 | Brusque | Catarinense - 1 |
| Feb 07, 2024 | Concórdia | 1 - 1 | Brusque | Catarinense - 1 |
| Mar 22, 2023 | Brusque | 2 - 0 | Concórdia | Catarinense - 1 |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Concórdia | 0 - 0 | Brusque | Catarinense - 1 |
| Feb 08, 2023 | Brusque | 0 - 0 | Concórdia | Catarinense - 1 |
| Mar 27, 2022 | Brusque | 1 - 0 | Concórdia | Catarinense - 1 |
| Mar 23, 2022 | Concórdia | 0 - 1 | Brusque | Catarinense - 1 |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Concórdia | 0 - 0 | Brusque | Catarinense - 1 |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Brusque to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Brusque Power
0
Concórdia Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.