AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Vysshaya Liga Dec 08, 2025

Khatlon

Home
VS
09:00

Istiqlol

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Khatlon Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Istiqlol Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 3.41 - 1.29
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 1.3
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Khatlon Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Istiqlol Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 2-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Under 2.5 Goals 28%
Khatlon Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 Khatlon vs Istaravsh… 2-0
Nov 02 Khatlon vs Ravshan K… 0-0
Oct 24 Khatlon vs FK Hulbuk 0-2
Oct 05 Khatlon vs Regar-Tad… 1-1
Sep 29 Khatlon vs Barki Taj… 1-0
Sep 20 Khatlon vs CSKA Pomir 2-1
Sep 13 Khatlon vs Panjsher 2-3
Aug 21 Khatlon vs Khosilot … 1-0
Aug 09 Khatlon vs Regar-Tad… 0-2
Jun 23 Khatlon vs Khujand 2-1
Istiqlol Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 04 Istiqlol vs FK Hulbuk 1-5
Nov 30 Istiqlol vs Khosilot … 0-9
Nov 26 Istiqlol vs Al-Nassr 0-4
Nov 10 Istiqlol vs Eskhata 6-2
Nov 05 Istiqlol vs Al Zawra'a 2-1
Oct 28 Istiqlol vs Ravshan K… 6-2
Oct 22 Istiqlol vs Al Zawra'a 2-1
Oct 01 Istiqlol vs Goa 2-0
Sep 24 Istiqlol vs Barki Taj… 2-1
Sep 17 Istiqlol vs Al-Nassr 5-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Istiqlol in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 11, 2025 Istiqlol 0 - 0 Khatlon Vysshaya Liga
Aug 10, 2024 Khatlon 0 - 1 Istiqlol Vysshaya Liga
Apr 13, 2024 Istiqlol 3 - 0 Khatlon Vysshaya Liga
May 24, 2023 Khatlon 1 - 3 Istiqlol Vysshaya Liga
May 10, 2023 Istiqlol 5 - 0 Khatlon Vysshaya Liga
Nov 04, 2022 Istiqlol 1 - 0 Khatlon Vysshaya Liga
Aug 21, 2022 Istiqlol 1 - 0 Khatlon Vysshaya Liga
May 12, 2022 Khatlon 1 - 1 Istiqlol Vysshaya Liga
Sep 21, 2021 Istiqlol 1 - 0 Khatlon Vysshaya Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Khatlon to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Khatlon Power 0
Istiqlol Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.