AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Vysshaya Liga May 11, 2025

Istiqlol

Home
VS
13:00

Khatlon

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Istiqlol Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Khatlon Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.83 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.7
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Istiqlol Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
8%
Khatlon Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Istiqlol Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
May 03 Istiqlol vs FK Hulbuk 2-0
Apr 26 Istiqlol vs Eskhata 1-1
Apr 20 Istiqlol vs Barki Taj… 0-1
Apr 12 Istiqlol vs CSKA Pomir 2-1
Apr 06 Istiqlol vs Panjsher 0-3
Mar 29 Istiqlol vs Khosilot … 1-1
Mar 14 Istiqlol vs Regar-Tad… 1-2
Mar 07 Istiqlol vs Khujand 1-0
Nov 22 Istiqlol vs Eskhata 0-3
Aug 10 Istiqlol vs Khatlon 0-1
Khatlon Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
May 02 Khatlon vs Barki Taj… 2-2
Apr 27 Khatlon vs Istaravsh… 2-3
Apr 20 Khatlon vs CSKA Pomir 1-2
Apr 11 Khatlon vs Panjsher 2-0
Apr 05 Khatlon vs Khosilot … 1-1
Mar 28 Khatlon vs Regar-Tad… 1-1
Mar 15 Khatlon vs Khujand 1-2
Mar 09 Khatlon vs Eskhata 3-1
Nov 07 Khatlon vs Istaravsh… 1-0
Aug 10 Khatlon vs Istiqlol 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Istiqlol in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Khatlon in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 10, 2024 Khatlon 0 - 1 Istiqlol Vysshaya Liga
Apr 13, 2024 Istiqlol 3 - 0 Khatlon Vysshaya Liga
May 24, 2023 Khatlon 1 - 3 Istiqlol Vysshaya Liga
May 10, 2023 Istiqlol 5 - 0 Khatlon Vysshaya Liga
Nov 04, 2022 Istiqlol 1 - 0 Khatlon Vysshaya Liga
Aug 21, 2022 Istiqlol 1 - 0 Khatlon Vysshaya Liga
May 12, 2022 Khatlon 1 - 1 Istiqlol Vysshaya Liga
Sep 21, 2021 Istiqlol 1 - 0 Khatlon Vysshaya Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Istiqlol to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Istiqlol Power 0
Khatlon Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.