Ýokary Liga · Oct 04, 2025 11:00
Aşgabat
PWR 24
Ahal
PWR 69
Aşgabat
PWR 24
1 - 1
FT
Ahal
PWR 69
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Ahal to win (77% confidence)
Prediction
0-2
Score
77%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
0-2 (19%)
0-1 (17%)
0-3 (15%)
0-0 (7%)
1-2 (6%)
1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 5 rules · 74%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy88%
AWAY_POINTS_GAPAWAY_FORM_STRONGAWAY_SCORINGHOME_LEAKINGAWAY_DOMINANT_COMBO
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.0%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack30
Defense17
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G2.4
Attack68
Defense74
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G0.8
Aşgabat Form
LWLWW
STABLE
Ahal Form
LDDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.546%
BTTS24%
Under 2.554%
Aşgabat Goals
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Ahal Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.31
Aşgabatvs
2.31
AhalDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Aşgabat-4
Gap#2
Ahal
WR 24% 30 pts
WR 66% 87 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aşgabat | 38 | 9 | 3 | 26 | 33 | 90 | 30 |
| Ahal | 41 | 27 | 6 | 8 | 80 | 31 | 87 |
Aşgabat
12.0%
| Sep 28 | Aşgabat v Altyn A… | 0-5 |
| Sep 22 | Aşgabat v Şagadam | 1-0 |
| Sep 13 | Aşgabat v Balkan | 1-2 |
| Aug 19 | Aşgabat v Köpetda… | 0-1 |
| Aug 15 | Aşgabat v Merw | 1-2 |
| Aug 08 | Aşgabat v Altyn A… | 2-1 |
| Aug 03 | Aşgabat v Arkadag | 4-0 |
| Jun 20 | Aşgabat v Arkadag | 7-0 |
| Jun 14 | Aşgabat v Arkadag | 0-2 |
| May 31 | Aşgabat v Balkan | 2-0 |
Ahal
12.0%
| Sep 30 | Ahal v Al Huss… | 1-4 |
| Sep 21 | Ahal v Arkadag | 1-1 |
| Sep 17 | Ahal v Merw | 0-0 |
| Sep 16 | Ahal v ATK Moh… | 0-1 |
| Aug 20 | Ahal v Altyn A… | 1-0 |
| Aug 13 | Ahal v Regar-T… | 1-2 |
| Aug 06 | Ahal v Balkan | 2-0 |
| Jun 24 | Ahal v Arkadag | 0-3 |
| Jun 14 | Ahal v Merw | 1-3 |
| May 29 | Ahal v Şagadam | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Apr 19, 2025 | Aşgabat | 1-4 | Ahal |
| Oct 03, 2024 | Aşgabat | 1-2 | Ahal |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Ahal | 3-0 | Aşgabat |
| May 22, 2024 | Aşgabat | 1-2 | Ahal |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Ahal | 4-0 | Aşgabat |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Ahal | 2-1 | Aşgabat |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Aşgabat | 0-4 | Ahal |
Key Factors
Aşgabat in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.