AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
V.League 1 Feb 14, 2025

Ho Chi Minh City

Home
VS
12:15

Thanh Hóa

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Ho Chi Minh City Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Thanh Hóa Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 1.89 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.2 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ho Chi Minh City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Thanh Hóa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Ho Chi Minh City Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 30 Ho Chi Mi… vs Sanna Kha… 0-1
May 08 Ho Chi Mi… vs Thanh Hóa 2-0
Dec 16 Ho Chi Mi… vs Thanh Hóa 1-1
Oct 22 Ho Chi Mi… vs Sanna Kha… 2-0
Jul 29 Ho Chi Mi… vs Sanna Kha… 3-0
Apr 17 Ho Chi Mi… vs Thanh Hóa 5-3
Feb 13 Ho Chi Mi… vs Sanna Kha… 0-2
Oct 28 Ho Chi Mi… vs Thanh Hóa 1-2
Jul 02 Ho Chi Mi… vs Thanh Hóa 1-0
Apr 12 Ho Chi Mi… vs Thanh Hóa 1-1
Thanh Hóa Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 14 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 1-1
Oct 26 Thanh Hóa vs Hoang Anh… 1-1
Aug 31 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 3-0
Jul 04 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 2-1
May 30 Thanh Hóa vs Hoang Anh… 1-1
May 26 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 2-5
May 08 Thanh Hóa vs Ho Chi Mi… 2-0
Mar 08 Thanh Hóa vs Nam Định 1-1
Mar 02 Thanh Hóa vs Hoang Anh… 1-2
Dec 16 Thanh Hóa vs Ho Chi Mi… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ho Chi Minh City in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 08, 2024 Ho Chi Minh City 2 - 0 Thanh Hóa V.League 1
Dec 16, 2023 Thanh Hóa 1 - 1 Ho Chi Minh City V.League 1
Apr 17, 2023 Thanh Hóa 5 - 3 Ho Chi Minh City V.League 1
Oct 28, 2022 Thanh Hóa 1 - 2 Ho Chi Minh City V.League 1
Jul 02, 2022 Ho Chi Minh City 1 - 0 Thanh Hóa V.League 1
Apr 12, 2021 Thanh Hóa 1 - 1 Ho Chi Minh City V.League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ho Chi Minh City to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ho Chi Minh City Power 0
Thanh Hóa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Ho Chi Minh City Position

+6

Position Gap

12

Thanh Hóa Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.