AI Match Insights

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Division Intermedia Jun 21, 2025

Deportivo Recoleta

Home
VS
18:00

Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Deportivo Recoleta Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 2.30 - 0.49
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.5
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportivo Recoleta Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 0-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
Deportivo Recoleta Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 26 Deportivo… vs Sportivo … 1-2
Apr 21 Deportivo… vs Nacional … 1-1
Apr 14 Deportivo… vs Libertad … 1-1
Apr 10 Deportivo… vs 2 de Mayo 0-4
Mar 21 Deportivo… vs Sportivo … 1-1
Feb 08 Deportivo… vs Nacional … 1-0
Feb 02 Deportivo… vs Libertad … 5-2
Jan 28 Deportivo… vs 2 de Mayo 0-2
Aug 16 Deportivo… vs Club Sp. … 0-0
Jul 28 Deportivo… vs Rubio Ñu 2-0
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 16 Club Sp. … vs Deportivo… 0-0
May 11 Club Sp. … vs Deportivo… 4-2
Jul 08 Club Sp. … vs Deportivo… 2-1
Mar 31 Club Sp. … vs Deportivo… 3-1
Sep 25 Club Sp. … vs Sportivo … 3-0
Jun 19 Club Sp. … vs Sportivo … 2-0
Dec 13 Club Sp. … vs Cerro Por… 1-1
Oct 25 Club Sp. … vs Nacional … 1-1
Oct 02 Club Sp. … vs Cerro Por… 1-1
Aug 21 Club Sp. … vs Nacional … 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Club Sp. San Lorenzo struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 16, 2024 Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0 - 0 Deportivo Recoleta Division Inter…
May 11, 2024 Deportivo Recoleta 4 - 2 Club Sp. San Lorenzo Division Inter…
Jul 08, 2023 Deportivo Recoleta 2 - 1 Club Sp. San Lorenzo Division Inter…
Mar 31, 2023 Club Sp. San Lorenzo 3 - 1 Deportivo Recoleta Division Inter…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Deportivo Recoleta to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportivo Recoleta Power 0
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.