Primera División · Oct 17, 2025 02:00

CS Herediano
PWR 35
1 - 3
FT

LD Alajuelense
PWR 35
33% H 27% D 40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: CS Herediano to win (56% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
56%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (13%) 0-1 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 0-0 (11%) 1-2 (8%) 0-2 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)āš ļø SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
CS Herediano Form LLDDL
DOWN
LD Alajuelense Form WDLDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.538%
BTTS45%
Under 2.562%
CS Herediano Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
LD Alajuele… Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
CS Herediano
vs
1.17
LD Alajuelense
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings67%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
CS Herediano
+3
Gap
#4
LD Alajuele…
WR 80% 12 pts WR 40% 8 pts
CS Herediano 4.0%
Sep 28 CS Here… v Guadalu… 0-2
Sep 20 CS Here… v Puntare… 1-0
Sep 18 CS Here… v Deporti… 3-3
Sep 13 CS Here… v Sportin… 0-0
Sep 11 CS Here… v CS Cart… 2-0
Sep 01 CS Here… v Municip… 1-0
Aug 29 CS Here… v Municip… 4-4
Aug 25 CS Here… v San Car… 2-2
Aug 22 CS Here… v Sportin… 2-0
Aug 17 CS Here… v Perez Z… 2-1
LD Alajuelense 12.0%
Oct 01 LD Alaj… v CD Mota… 1-2
Sep 27 LD Alaj… v Puntare… 2-2
Sep 24 LD Alaj… v CD Mota… 0-1
Sep 21 LD Alaj… v Guadalu… 0-0
Sep 17 LD Alaj… v San Car… 2-0
Sep 14 LD Alaj… v Municip… 2-0
Sep 07 LD Alaj… v Perez Z… 2-1
Aug 31 LD Alaj… v Deporti… 0-1
Aug 28 LD Alaj… v Antigua… 1-0
Aug 22 LD Alaj… v Atalanta 0-1
Head-to-Head (9)
Aug 10, 2025 LD Alajuelense 0-1 CS Herediano
Jul 20, 2025 CS Herediano 0-1 LD Alajuelense
May 29, 2025 CS Herediano 1-0 LD Alajuelense
May 25, 2025 LD Alajuelense 0-0 CS Herediano
Mar 09, 2025 CS Herediano 1-2 LD Alajuelense
Feb 06, 2025 LD Alajuelense 1-1 CS Herediano
Dec 28, 2024 LD Alajuelense 2-1 CS Herediano
Dec 22, 2024 CS Herediano 2-0 LD Alajuelense
Dec 12, 2024 LD Alajuelense 2-2 CS Herediano
Key Factors
CS Herediano struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.