Ligue 1 · May 17, 2025 15:00

Paris FC
PWR 31

Auxerre
PWR 27

Paris FC
PWR 31
3 - 1
FT

Auxerre
PWR 27
57% H
23% D
20% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Paris FC to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (23%)
2-0 (22%)
3-0 (14%)
0-0 (12%)
1-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk
AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (35.3%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense49
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.7
Attack21
Defense57
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G1.5
Paris FC Form
DWWWL
STABLE
Auxerre Form
DLWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.534%
BTTS15%
Under 2.566%
Paris FC Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Auxerre Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Paris FCvs
0.20
AuxerreDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum90%
Standings61%
Market50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#14
Paris FC+3
Gap#17
Auxerre
WR 20% 21 pts
WR 0% 13 pts
Paris FC
14.0%
| May 15 | Paris FC v Meshakh… | 0-0 |
| May 10 | Paris FC v Ajaccio | 2-0 |
| May 10 | Paris FC v Montpel… | 1-4 |
| May 09 | Paris FC v Gonio | 2-0 |
| May 04 | Paris FC v Pafos FC | 4-0 |
| May 03 | Paris FC v Strasbo… | 2-1 |
| May 02 | Paris FC v Dinamo … | 0-1 |
| May 02 | Paris FC v Martigu… | 1-1 |
| May 02 | Paris FC v Martigu… | 1-1 |
| Apr 28 | Paris FC v Saburta… | 3-0 |
Auxerre
6.0%
| May 10 | Auxerre v Nantes | 1-1 |
| May 04 | Auxerre v LE Havr… | 1-2 |
| Apr 27 | Auxerre v Lens | 0-4 |
| Apr 20 | Auxerre v Lille | 3-1 |
| Apr 13 | Auxerre v Lyon | 1-3 |
| Apr 06 | Auxerre v Rennes … | 0-1 |
| Mar 30 | Auxerre v Montpel… | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Auxerre v Nice | 1-1 |
| Mar 09 | Auxerre v Reims | 0-2 |
| Mar 02 | Auxerre v Strasbo… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Dec 06, 2024 | Auxerre | 0-0 | Paris FC |
| May 04, 2024 | Auxerre | 2-0 | Paris FC |
| May 04, 2024 | Auxerre | 2-0 | Paris FC |
| Oct 07, 2023 | Paris FC | 0-2 | Auxerre |
| Feb 01, 2022 | Auxerre | 1-2 | Paris FC |
| Aug 16, 2021 | Paris FC | 1-1 | Auxerre |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Auxerre | 0-0 | Paris FC |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Paris FC | 0-3 | Auxerre |
Key Factors
Paris FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
Auxerre struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.