AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga 1 Sep 26, 2025

Dewa United

Home
VS
12:00

Persebaya Surabaya

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Dewa United Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Persebaya Surabaya Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.73 - 1.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 1.3
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dewa United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Persebaya Surabaya Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Dewa United Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 Dewa Unit… vs PSBS Biak… 3-1
Sep 13 Dewa Unit… vs Arema FC 1-2
Aug 29 Dewa Unit… vs Persija J… 1-3
Aug 22 Dewa Unit… vs Persik Ke… 3-1
Aug 15 Dewa Unit… vs Semen Pad… 2-0
Aug 09 Dewa Unit… vs Malut Uni… 1-3
Jul 08 Dewa Unit… vs Persib Ba… 1-1
May 17 Dewa Unit… vs Persis So… 1-1
May 09 Dewa Unit… vs Persita 3-0
Apr 10 Dewa Unit… vs Bali Unit… 0-0
Persebaya Surabaya Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 19 Persebaya… vs Semen Pad… 1-0
Sep 12 Persebaya… vs Persib Ba… 1-0
Aug 23 Persebaya… vs Bali Unit… 5-2
Aug 16 Persebaya… vs Persita 0-1
Aug 08 Persebaya… vs PSIM Yogy… 0-1
May 23 Persebaya… vs Bali Unit… 1-3
May 18 Persebaya… vs Pusamania… 1-1
May 05 Persebaya… vs Persik Ke… 3-3
Apr 28 Persebaya… vs Arema FC 1-1
Apr 20 Persebaya… vs Persepam … 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Persebaya Surabaya in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Dewa United struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 21, 2025 Dewa United 2 - 0 Persebaya Surabaya Liga 1
Sep 27, 2024 Persebaya Surabaya 0 - 0 Dewa United Liga 1
Apr 16, 2024 Persebaya Surabaya 0 - 3 Dewa United Liga 1
Sep 30, 2023 Dewa United 1 - 1 Persebaya Surabaya Liga 1
Apr 15, 2023 Persebaya Surabaya 3 - 0 Dewa United Liga 1
Dec 24, 2022 Dewa United 1 - 2 Persebaya Surabaya Liga 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dewa United Power 0
Persebaya Surabaya Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Dewa United Position

-5

Position Gap

5

Persebaya Surabaya Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.