Virsliga · Apr 25, 2025 16:00
BFC Daugavpils
PWR 44
Metta / LU
PWR 30
BFC Daugavpils
PWR 44
2 - 0
FT
Metta / LU
PWR 30
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: BFC Daugavpils to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (9%)
3-1 (8%)
2-0 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
1-0 (4%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (32.0%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack53
Defense42
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.7
Attack38
Defense28
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G2.1
BFC Daugavpils Form
WDLWW
STABLE
Metta / LU Form
DLDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.567%
BTTS58%
Under 2.533%
BFC Daugavp… Goals
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
21%
4
19%
Metta / LU Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.56
BFC Daugavpilsvs
0.92
Metta / LUDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#4
BFC Daugavp…+5
Gap#9
Metta / LU
WR 38% 55 pts
WR 23% 35 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFC Daugavpils | 40 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 60 | 66 | 55 |
| Metta / LU | 40 | 9 | 8 | 23 | 43 | 82 | 35 |
BFC Daugavpils
14.0%
| Apr 19 | BFC Dau… v FK Liep… | 4-2 |
| Apr 15 | BFC Dau… v Super N… | 1-1 |
| Apr 10 | BFC Dau… v FS Jelg… | 4-1 |
| Apr 04 | BFC Dau… v Auda | 2-1 |
| Mar 29 | BFC Dau… v Riga FC | 1-2 |
| Mar 15 | BFC Dau… v Rīgas FS | 1-2 |
| Mar 11 | BFC Dau… v Grobiņa | 3-2 |
| Mar 07 | BFC Dau… v Tukums | 3-0 |
| Sep 27 | BFC Dau… v Metta /… | 1-1 |
| Jul 07 | BFC Dau… v Metta /… | 3-2 |
Metta / LU
12.0%
| Apr 18 | Metta /… v FS Jelg… | 0-0 |
| Apr 13 | Metta /… v Auda | 0-1 |
| Apr 08 | Metta /… v Riga FC | 1-1 |
| Apr 04 | Metta /… v Rīgas FS | 1-0 |
| Mar 30 | Metta /… v Grobiņa | 2-4 |
| Mar 16 | Metta /… v Tukums | 3-2 |
| Mar 12 | Metta /… v Super N… | 4-0 |
| Mar 07 | Metta /… v FK Liep… | 4-0 |
| Feb 12 | Metta /… v Paide | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | Metta /… v Panevėž… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Sep 27, 2024 | BFC Daugavpils | 1-1 | Metta / LU |
| Jul 07, 2024 | Metta / LU | 3-2 | BFC Daugavpils |
| May 16, 2024 | BFC Daugavpils | 4-0 | Metta / LU |
| Apr 03, 2024 | Metta / LU | 0-1 | BFC Daugavpils |
Key Factors
BFC Daugavpils in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.