Liga Nacional · Aug 23, 2025 01:30

Victoria
PWR 40
0 - 1
FT

CD Motagua
PWR 35
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (19%) 0-0 (15%) 0-2 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 1-0 (9%) 1-2 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack42
Defense51
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.4
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Victoria Form LLLWL
DOWN
CD Motagua Form DDLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.530%
BTTS33%
Under 2.570%
Victoria Goals
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CD Motagua Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61
Victoria
vs
1.32
CD Motagua
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum40%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Victoria
-3
Gap
#3
CD Motagua
WR 26% 68 pts WR 50% 112 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Victoria61162025748668
CD Motagua6432161611984112
Victoria 4.0%
Aug 16 Victoria v Lobos U… 2-0
Aug 03 Victoria v Platens… 0-4
Jul 27 Victoria v Olancho 3-0
Jul 25 Victoria v CD Mara… 0-3
May 18 Victoria v CD Olim… 2-1
May 14 Victoria v CD Olim… 0-2
May 10 Victoria v CD Mara… 0-0
May 08 Victoria v CD Mara… 0-0
May 04 Victoria v CD Mota… 1-1
Apr 21 Victoria v Real Es… 1-1
CD Motagua 8.0%
Aug 18 CD Mota… v CD Mara… 3-3
Aug 15 CD Mota… v CS Cart… 0-0
Aug 10 CD Mota… v Olancho 3-1
Aug 06 CD Mota… v Indepen… 2-1
Aug 02 CD Mota… v CD Olim… 0-2
Jul 30 CD Mota… v Verdes 1-4
Jul 26 CD Mota… v Génesis 2-1
May 17 CD Mota… v Real Es… 2-0
May 15 CD Mota… v Real Es… 1-0
May 04 CD Mota… v Victoria 1-1
Head-to-Head (8)
May 04, 2025 Victoria 1-1 CD Motagua
Mar 02, 2025 CD Motagua 2-1 Victoria
Dec 01, 2024 CD Motagua 5-2 Victoria
Sep 22, 2024 Victoria 1-3 CD Motagua
Mar 31, 2024 Victoria 2-2 CD Motagua
Jan 31, 2024 CD Motagua 3-0 Victoria
Nov 25, 2023 CD Motagua 1-3 Victoria
Sep 21, 2023 Victoria 0-4 CD Motagua
Key Factors
Victoria struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.