AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Apr 12, 2025

Burnley

Home
VS
15:00

Bolton

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Burnley Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Bolton Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 3.42 - 0.71
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.7
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Burnley Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Bolton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Burnley Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 11 Burnley vs Norwich C… 2-1
Apr 08 Burnley vs Derby 0-0
Apr 05 Burnley vs Accringto… 4-0
Apr 05 Burnley vs Coventry 1-2
Apr 05 Burnley vs Accringto… 4-0
Apr 05 Burnley vs Birmingham 6-2
Apr 01 Burnley vs Exeter Ci… 1-2
Apr 01 Burnley vs Newport C… 1-1
Apr 01 Burnley vs Newport C… 1-1
Mar 29 Burnley vs Watford 2-3
Bolton Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 08 Bolton vs Rotherham… 0-1
Apr 08 Bolton vs Stoke City 1-1
Apr 08 Bolton vs Aldershot… 1-2
Apr 05 Bolton vs Leeds 1-1
Apr 05 Bolton vs Wrexham 3-0
Apr 05 Bolton vs Bristol C… 1-0
Apr 01 Bolton vs Wigan 0-1
Apr 01 Bolton vs Leyton Or… 2-1
Mar 29 Bolton vs Hull City 0-1
Mar 29 Bolton vs Blackpool 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Burnley in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 08, 2025 Burnley 4 - 0 Bolton Championship
Feb 01, 2025 Burnley 0 - 0 Bolton League One
Dec 26, 2024 Bolton 1 - 2 Burnley Pro League
Sep 21, 2024 Bolton 1 - 2 Burnley Pro League
Aug 12, 2024 Bolton 1 - 4 Burnley Pro League
May 07, 2024 Bolton 2 - 3 Burnley League One
May 03, 2024 Burnley 1 - 3 Bolton League One
Apr 01, 2024 Bolton 1 - 3 Burnley Pro League
Mar 05, 2024 Burnley 2 - 2 Bolton Pro League
Feb 03, 2024 Bolton 1 - 1 Burnley Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (28% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 28% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Burnley Power 25
Bolton Power 39
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.