La Liga · Sep 20, 2025 19:00
Valencia
PWR 29
Athletic Club
PWR 30
Valencia
PWR 29
2 - 0
FT
Athletic Club
PWR 30
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Valencia to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (21%)
2-0 (16%)
0-0 (14%)
1-1 (9%)
3-0 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (32.0%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense52
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.6
Attack29
Defense58
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.4
Valencia Form
LWLDW
STABLE
Athletic Club Form
LLWWW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.532%
BTTS29%
Under 2.568%
Valencia Goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
Athletic Cl… Goals
0
64%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Valenciavs
0.45
Athletic ClubDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings40%
Market50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#16
Valencia-5
Gap#11
Athletic Cl…
WR 36% 23 pts
WR 18% 25 pts
Valencia
10.0%
| Sep 14 | Valencia v Barcelo… | 6-0 |
| Aug 29 | Valencia v Getafe | 3-0 |
| Aug 24 | Valencia v Osasuna | 1-0 |
| Aug 16 | Valencia v Real So… | 1-1 |
| Aug 09 | Valencia v Torino | 3-0 |
| May 24 | Valencia v Mallorca | 0-0 |
| May 23 | Valencia v Real Be… | 1-1 |
| May 18 | Valencia v Athleti… | 0-1 |
| May 18 | Valencia v Celta | 1-2 |
| May 18 | Valencia v Ath Bil… | 0-1 |
Athletic Club
12.0%
| Sep 16 | Athleti… v Arsenal | 0-2 |
| Sep 13 | Athleti… v Alavés | 0-1 |
| Aug 31 | Athleti… v Real Be… | 1-2 |
| Aug 25 | Athleti… v Rayo Va… | 1-0 |
| Aug 17 | Athleti… v Sevilla… | 3-2 |
| May 25 | Athleti… v FC Barc… | 0-3 |
| May 18 | Athleti… v Valencia | 0-1 |
| May 15 | Athleti… v Getafe | 0-2 |
| May 11 | Athleti… v Alavés | 1-0 |
| May 08 | Athleti… v Manches… | 4-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| May 18, 2025 | Valencia | 0-1 | Athletic Club |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Athletic Club | 1-0 | Valencia |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Valencia | 1-0 | Athletic Club |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Athletic Club | 2-2 | Valencia |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Valencia | 1-2 | Athletic Club |
| Jan 26, 2023 | Valencia | 1-3 | Athletic Club |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Athletic Club | 1-0 | Valencia |
| May 07, 2022 | Athletic Club | 0-0 | Valencia |
| Mar 02, 2022 | Valencia | 1-0 | Athletic Club |
Key Factors
Athletic Club in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.